If elected in 2024 will Trump issue more than 50 years in total in January 6th related pardons?
7
90Ṁ10652028
98.8%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves by the sum of remaining prison time of people he pardons.
Resolves N/A if he is not elected.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Donald Trump serve any prison time before 2026?
1% chance
If Donald Trump wins the election, will he serve time in 2025?
1% chance
Will Trump pardon more people during his second term than any president during a single term in history?
40% chance
Will Donald Trump be pardoned before 2027?
24% chance
If Trump is elected, will he attempt to pardon himself?
55% chance
Will Trump pardon himself over the course of his second term?
44% chance
If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028)
41% chance
Wil Trump pardon political violence that occurs during his second term?
69% chance
If Donald Trump wins the election will he pardon at least one family or staff member before the end of his term?
73% chance
Will Trump issue a pardon / commutation for a group of people (not by name) during his term?
36% chance