AI-based animal communication research leads to new conservation policies by EOY 2030?
4
100Ṁ49
2030
39%
chance
15

Advancements in AI decoding of communications have potential implications for animal conservation efforts. This market resolves to 'YES' if a new conservation policy is enacted by a government or supragovernmental institution based on AI research into animal communication by December 31, 2030.

  • Update 2025-07-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has confirmed a sufficient condition for a YES resolution:

    • A politician involved in writing or advocating for the policy cites the AI research in a public statement.

The creator notes that other scenarios for a YES resolution may still be considered.

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