Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page.
https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/past/?search=SpaceX
seems to have changed to
https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=
in September UTC.
If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
(Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated. Success may well be more of an issue with test flights.)
People are also trading
4 successfully done in first 4 days of December
8 with planned dates to 15th Dec (some turnarounds quite tight: ASOG late 11 and early 15th and SLC-40 9th and 11th) Even if we assume launch on 15th slips, 11 in two weeks is still an impressive rate even if Christmas means this won't extrapolate up to 22 in this month.
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2001542403292041377
"Great work by the SpaceX team!
Congrats to the entire @SpaceX team for achieving 165 launches
! While we originally set out for 170, we actually revised the manifest to 165 this summer based on business and manifest needs. We have two more Falcon launches to go in 2025 for extra credit for a total of 1-6-7"
So seems like it will be 13-15