How many successful SpaceX launches in November 2025 UTC
8
1kṀ3535
Nov 30
15%
12 or less
21%
13
27%
14
21%
15
9%
16
4%
17
2%
18 or more

Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page.
https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/past/?search=SpaceX
seems to have changed to
https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=
in September UTC.


If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.

A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.


Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.

(Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated. However, it wasn't having much success this year until recently.)

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December market is at

https://x.com/dpoddolphinpro/status/1986624491254861848
BREAKING: The @FAAnews

is implementing a Launch Curfew for All Commercial Launches & Re-entries. Launches & Re-entries are banned between 06:00 - 22:00 local time, starting Monday, November 10th.

I think I am correct in saying that this is unprecedented.

The Emergency Order does not explain how the "local time" of a re-entry will be determined. Re-entries typically span multiple timezones. Here is the exact language of the Emergency Order:

Accordingly, with respect to commercial space launches and reentries, under the authority provided to the FAA Administrator by 49 U.S.C. §§ 40103, 40113, and 46105(c), and authority delegated to the FAA Administrator under 51 U.S.C. § 50909(a), it is hereby ordered that, beginning at 6:00 a.m. EST on November 10, 2025, and until this Order is cancelled, Commercial space launches and reentries will only be permitted between 10:00 p.m. and 6:00 a.m. local time.

.

SpaceX may well be able to move starlink launches to those hours. Others particularly sun sync orbits with planned daytime launch like transporter-15 (planned Tuesday 10th 10-11am local time) might not be so easy. Sentinel 6B is planned for closer to the allowed time window 21:12-21:56

Maybe SpaceX can delay those flights and to some extent replace them with starlink launches? Or shutdown might end soon?

11 with planned dates up to Nov 19th

3 Successfully don in first 6 days of November
8 with planned dates by 19th (Some of these are very tight eg JRTI used today 6th and planned for both 10th and 14th)

5 Successfully done in first 11 days of November
6 with planned dates by 20th (However 18th, 19th and 20th all from VSFB, last two with OCISLY drone ship landing looks like it is impossible to do more than one. Also 16th to 18th for ASOG is also very tight if not impossible)

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