Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page.
https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/past/?search=SpaceX
seems to have changed to
https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=
in September UTC.
If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
(Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated. However, it wasn't having much success this year until recently.)
People are also trading
https://x.com/dpoddolphinpro/status/1986624491254861848
BREAKING: The @FAAnews
is implementing a Launch Curfew for All Commercial Launches & Re-entries. Launches & Re-entries are banned between 06:00 - 22:00 local time, starting Monday, November 10th.
I think I am correct in saying that this is unprecedented.
The Emergency Order does not explain how the "local time" of a re-entry will be determined. Re-entries typically span multiple timezones. Here is the exact language of the Emergency Order:
Accordingly, with respect to commercial space launches and reentries, under the authority provided to the FAA Administrator by 49 U.S.C. §§ 40103, 40113, and 46105(c), and authority delegated to the FAA Administrator under 51 U.S.C. § 50909(a), it is hereby ordered that, beginning at 6:00 a.m. EST on November 10, 2025, and until this Order is cancelled, Commercial space launches and reentries will only be permitted between 10:00 p.m. and 6:00 a.m. local time.
.
SpaceX may well be able to move starlink launches to those hours. Others particularly sun sync orbits with planned daytime launch like transporter-15 (planned Tuesday 10th 10-11am local time) might not be so easy. Sentinel 6B is planned for closer to the allowed time window 21:12-21:56
Maybe SpaceX can delay those flights and to some extent replace them with starlink launches? Or shutdown might end soon?