Global Average Temperature September 2024 per gistemp LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
12
1kṀ13k
resolved Oct 21
Resolved
YES
September 2024 greater than 1.195 C
Resolved
YES
September 2024 greater than 1.245 C
Resolved
NO
September 2024 greater than 1.295 C
Resolved
NO
September 2024 greater than 1.345 C
Resolved
NO
September 2024 greater than 1.395 C
Resolved
NO
September 2024 greater than 1.485 C


Data is currently at
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.csv

or

https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt

(or such updated location for this Gistemp v4 LOTI data)

January 2024 might show as 122 in hundredths of a degree C, this is +1.22C above the 1951-1980 base period. If it shows as 1.22 then it is in degrees i.e. 1.22C. Same logic/interpretation as this will be applied.

If the version or base period changes then I will consult with traders over what is best way for any such change to have least effect on betting positions or consider N/A if it is unclear what the sensible least effect resolution should be.


Numbers expected to be displayed to hundredth of a degree. The extra digit used here is to ensure understanding that +1.20C does not resolve an exceed 1.205C option as yes.

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