
Considering “ PROJECTED INFLATION ACROSS ELECTION SCENARIOS” from Oxford economics which outcome is most likely?
0
Ṁ100Mar 1
17%
Full blown Trump
17%
Limited Trump
17%
Trump divided Gov
17%
Democrat divided government
17%
Baseline democrat
17%
Full blown democrat
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
What will be the highest annual PCE inflation in a report released between September 2025 and the midterms?
4.11
In 2028, Will "Change in Average Inflation Rate" continue its 13-election win streak of predicting the US PV winner?
2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will inflation on average be between 1.5% and 2.5%
Will the CPI-U show higher inflation over the course of 2026 than over 2025?
64% chance
Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026?
Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
30% chance
Which Party will the Economist endorse in the next UK General Election?
Which countries will the Economist make endorsements in elections for in Oct 2025 - Dec 2029?
Will the US undergo Stagflation before the 2026 midterms? (Bounds Revised)