Will the CPI-U show higher inflation over the course of 2025 than over 2024?
15
110Ṁ495
Jan 2
55%
chance

Resolves based on the data available here. If the percent rise for 2025 is higher, this resolves YES.

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@polymathematic are you betting based on the delayed BLS report?

@brod yep

@polymathematic nice. i’m inclined to hope they’re just finalising data - the “no change” october fed markets haven’t moved much. but we’ll see

@brod yeah, I’ve read a few things today that have suggested it’s almost certainly about resource constraints (thanks, DOGE) and not political meddling. And really, I might have played it wrong anyway, ‘cause if there is political meddling it makes the inflation markets less likely to pay out, not more, I suppose.

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