Biggest upset (betting odds) in 2025 NBA playoffs
2
375Ṁ1918Jul 1
0.8%
West 1 vs 8
1.9%
West 2 vs 7
32%
West 3 vs 6
1.8%
West 4 vs 5
0.9%
East 1 vs 8
0.9%
East 2 vs 7
8%
East 3 vs 6
0.8%
East 4 vs 5
9%
West 1/8 vs 4/5
4%
West 2/7 vs 3/6
19%
East 1/8 vs 4/5
7%
East 2/7 vs 3/6
5%
Western Conference Finals
4%
Eastern Conference Finals
6%
NBA Finals
Odds are via sportsoddshistory or basketball reference.
https://www.basketball-reference.com/playoffs/series.html
https://www.sportsoddshistory.com/nba-playoffs-series/?y=0000&o=s
If all 15 series are won by the favorite resolves to the smallest favorite.
If tied resolves 50/50.
Historical data:
2024: IND (6) vs NYK (2): +220
2023: MIA (8) vs MIL (1): +750
2022: DAL (4) vs UTA (5): +245
2021 (tie) : MIL (3) vs BKN/PHX (2): +160
2020: DEN (3) vs LAC (2): +850
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@strakeIscool so 80% chance of Wolves beating the Lakers as a +165 underdog x 90% chance none East top 3 seeds get upset x 60% chance OKC makes finals x 65% chance Cavs and Celtics meet in ECF.
Ok 30% is pretty fair