Biggest upset (betting odds) in 2025 NBA playoffs
3
375Ṁ5205
Jul 1
0.1%
West 1 vs 8
0.2%
West 2 vs 7
0.2%
West 3 vs 6
0.2%
West 4 vs 5
0.1%
East 1 vs 8
0.1%
East 2 vs 7
0.2%
East 3 vs 6
0.1%
East 4 vs 5
0.6%
West 1/8 vs 4/5
0.2%
West 2/7 vs 3/6
0.2%
East 1/8 vs 4/5
97%
East 2/7 vs 3/6
0.2%
Western Conference Finals
0.2%
Eastern Conference Finals
0.3%
NBA Finals

Odds are via sportsoddshistory or basketball reference.

https://www.basketball-reference.com/playoffs/series.html

https://www.sportsoddshistory.com/nba-playoffs-series/?y=0000&o=s

If all 15 series are won by the favorite resolves to the smallest favorite.

If tied resolves 50/50.

Historical data:

2024: IND (6) vs NYK (2): +220

2023: MIA (8) vs MIL (1): +750

2022: DAL (4) vs UTA (5): +245

2021 (tie) : MIL (3) vs BKN/PHX (2): +160

2020: DEN (3) vs LAC (2): +850

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bought Ṁ5 YES

Wish this market had more traders.

Wolves beat the Lakers as ~38% underdogs and took the lead in this market

then Pacers (~20%) went up 2-0, then Knicks (~15%), then Nuggets (~15%) up 2-1, Pacers complete the upset so now it's up to whether the Celtics can pull off the 3-1 comeback without Tatum or else it likely resolves to the Knicks

bought Ṁ50 NO

@strakeIscool so 80% chance of Wolves beating the Lakers as a +165 underdog x 90% chance none East top 3 seeds get upset x 60% chance OKC makes finals x 65% chance Cavs and Celtics meet in ECF.

Ok 30% is pretty fair

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