Will the Unemployment Rate (U3) exceed 4.2 percent in the August 2024 BLS Jobs Report? (Seasonally Adjusted)
43
Ṁ10kṀ10kresolved Sep 6
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
On September 6, will the seasonally adjusted U3 employment rate exceed 4.2 percent? Will use the rounded headline number. Will resolve yes when it equals 4.3 percent or above.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ3,023 | |
| 2 | Ṁ320 | |
| 3 | Ṁ110 | |
| 4 | Ṁ105 | |
| 5 | Ṁ54 |
People are also trading
Will US unemployment exceed 4.5% at any point in 2026?
61% chance
Will US unemployment get above 6% in 2026?
23% chance
Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2028?
51% chance
Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2027?
63% chance
Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2029?
61% chance
Will unemployment in the US be higher in September 2026 than in either September 2022 or September 2024?
51% chance
When will the US unemployment rate (U3 or U6) increase by >= 3% due to AI?
Sort by:
Let’s do this again everyone https://manifold.markets/Chestnutm16/will-the-unemployment-rate-u3-excee-7mwkt8wtxc?r=Q2hlc3RudXRtMTY
People are also trading
Related questions
Will US unemployment exceed 4.5% at any point in 2026?
61% chance
Will US unemployment get above 6% in 2026?
23% chance
Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2028?
51% chance
Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2027?
63% chance
Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2029?
61% chance
Will unemployment in the US be higher in September 2026 than in either September 2022 or September 2024?
51% chance
When will the US unemployment rate (U3 or U6) increase by >= 3% due to AI?