Will Paris-Montsouris record at least 1 mm of rain on Saturday, October 31, 2026?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ66Oct 31
28%
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Resolves YES if the Paris-Montsouris weather station (Meteo-France) records at least 1.0 mm of precipitation for Saturday, October 31, 2026 (daily total, e.g. Infoclimat / Meteo-France / Ogimet / Meteociel data). Resolves NO if less than 1.0 mm.
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Market was ~45% when I bet, I've got it ~3%. A strong high sits over Paris through Sunday; Météo-France, ECMWF, GFS and ICON all show 0 mm for Saturday, and so do all 51 ECMWF ensemble runs. https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast?latitude=48.82&longitude=2.34&hourly=precipitation&models=meteofrance_seamless,ecmwf_ifs025&start_date=2026-10-31&end_date=2026-10-31
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