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MANIFOLD
Will Lula win the October 25, 2026 presidential runoff in Brazil?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ51
in 9 hours
32%
chance

The runoff is between Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. Resolves YES if Lula is declared the winner according to the official results of Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE). Resolves NO if Flávio Bolsonaro is declared the winner. Resolves N/A if the runoff is postponed beyond November 15, 2026. Trading closes October 25, 2026 at 12:00 Paris time, before polls close. The creator will not bet on this market and will resolve it only after the official results.

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