This resolves as YES if Russia manages to overtake Argentina's MoM inflation rate in December 2024, based on the numbers provided by:
https://tradingeconomics.com/argentina/inflation-rate-mom
https://tradingeconomics.com/russia/inflation-rate-mom
Argentina reported inflation rates of 2.7% and 2.4% in the last two months, while Russia recorded 0.8% and 1.4% during the same period. Milei is actively curbing inflation in Argentina, while Putin is printing money to cover his war expenses. This could result in a close race.
Update 2025-11-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - TradingEconomics does not have updated data yet
Russia new data available on January 15, with TEForecast predicting 1.6%
Argentina new data available on January 14, with TEForecast predicting 2.0%
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ33 | |
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@traders There's a new market for 2025
https://manifold.markets/ChaosIsALadder/when-will-russia-have-a-higher-mom
I extended the market because TradingEconomics doesn't have updated data yet. For Russia, it appears that new data will be available on January 15, with TEForecast predicting 1.6%:
Argentina will likely receive an update on January 14, with TEForecast predicting a 2.0%:
