Will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine within the next 30 days?
25
Ṁ100Ṁ2kresolved Apr 11
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will immediately resolve YES if a ceasefire lasting at least one full day occurs within the next 30 days. Otherwise, it will resolve NO.
I will not bet in this market.
Background:
https://edition.cnn.com/2025/03/11/world/ukraine-us-talks-saudi-arabia-intl/index.html
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ42 | |
| 2 | Ṁ32 | |
| 3 | Ṁ24 | |
| 4 | Ṁ20 | |
| 5 | Ṁ20 |
Sort by:
@Haiku Title changed from "Will Russia agree to the ceasefire proposed by the U.S. within the next 30 days?" to "Will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine within the next 30 days?". Since Ukraine has already agreed to a ceasefire, there should be no difference; however, the second version aligns better with the description in case Ukraine withdraws from the agreement.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Ukraine and Russia agree to a formal ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
16% chance
Will Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire before August 1, 2026?
16% chance
If Ukraine and Russia agree to a ceasefire, will it last the agreed duration?
39% chance
If Ukraine accepts the peace deal Russia offers, will Russia keep it for at least 30 years?
54% chance
When will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2027?
57% chance
Will Russia agree to a peace treaty that gives Ukraine control of Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk before 2100?
19% chance