Will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine within the next 30 days?
18
100แน536Apr 11
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This market will immediately resolve YES if a ceasefire lasting at least one full day occurs within the next 30 days. Otherwise, it will resolve NO.
I will not bet in this market.
Background:
https://edition.cnn.com/2025/03/11/world/ukraine-us-talks-saudi-arabia-intl/index.html
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@Haiku Title changed from "Will Russia agree to the ceasefire proposed by the U.S. within the next 30 days?" to "Will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine within the next 30 days?". Since Ukraine has already agreed to a ceasefire, there should be no difference; however, the second version aligns better with the description in case Ukraine withdraws from the agreement.
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