Will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine within the next 30 days?
25
100Ṁ1982resolved Apr 11
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will immediately resolve YES if a ceasefire lasting at least one full day occurs within the next 30 days. Otherwise, it will resolve NO.
I will not bet in this market.
Background:
https://edition.cnn.com/2025/03/11/world/ukraine-us-talks-saudi-arabia-intl/index.html

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ42 | |
2 | Ṁ32 | |
3 | Ṁ24 | |
4 | Ṁ20 | |
5 | Ṁ20 |
Sort by:
@Haiku Title changed from "Will Russia agree to the ceasefire proposed by the U.S. within the next 30 days?" to "Will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine within the next 30 days?". Since Ukraine has already agreed to a ceasefire, there should be no difference; however, the second version aligns better with the description in case Ukraine withdraws from the agreement.
People are also trading
Related questions
If there is an offered ceasefire and Russia doesn't accept, will the US pressure Russia in any way April 30th?
22% chance
Will Ukraine and Russia reach a ceasefire -- in agreement or in practice -- by August 2025? 🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦
39% chance
Will Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire or other cessation of hostilities before the 100th day of Trump’s term?
2% chance
Will Russia and Ukraine announce a ceasefire with an intended duration of at least 28 days before October 1st, 2025?
45% chance
If Ukraine and Russia agree to a ceasefire, will it last the agreed duration?
43% chance
If Russia doesn’t agree to the ceasefire, will America provide more assistance to Ukraines war efforts within 90 days?
46% chance
Will Russia/Ukraine break their ceasefire before the end of 2025?
50% chance
If Ukraine accepts the peace deal Russia offers, will Russia keep it for at least 30 years?
14% chance
If there is a second Peace Summit, will the Russia-Ukraine War end within 3 months afterward?
46% chance
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire in Trump's First 90 Days?
1% chance