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MANIFOLD
Will Alibaba release Qwen 3 by the end of April 2025?
7
Ṁ100Ṁ612
resolved Apr 28
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if any Qwen 3 model weights become available for download before this market closes. Resolves NO otherwise.

Background (https://x.com/IbraHasan_/status/1916859544149332016):

I will not bet in this market.

  • Update 2025-04-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification

    • Model weights must become available for download after the market was created and before it closes.

    • The accidental and retracted release that occurred prior to market creation does not count toward a YES resolution.

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@ChaosIsALadder Resolved to YES: https://qwenlm.github.io/blog/qwen3/

See also announcement post: https://qwenlm.github.io/blog/qwen3/

bought Ṁ60 YES

Resolves YES I think: https://huggingface.co/Qwen/Qwen3-235B-A22B

sold Ṁ108 YES

Nvm they unrealeased it.

@NAnp6Ih This was up very briefly a few hours before this market was created. It doesn't count towards a YES resolution.

bought Ṁ5 YES

Resolves Yes

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