How much faster will NVIDIA's upcoming flagship GPU (probably RTX 5090) be compared to the RTX 4090?
How much faster will NVIDIA's upcoming flagship GPU (probably RTX 5090) be compared to the RTX 4090?
12
100Ṁ1287
resolved Jan 23
100%99.0%
20%-39% faster
0.1%
slower
0.2%
0-19% faster
0.2%
40%-59% faster
0.2%
60-79% faster
0.2%
80-99% faster
0.2%
100%+ faster

This question will be resolved as soon as a review is published by TechPowerUp. The performance comparison will be based on the average frame rate achieved by the standard variant of the GPU at 4K resolution. Currently, the RTX 4090 achieves an average of 109.2 FPS, as reported by https://www.techpowerup.com/review/intel-arc-b580/31.html :

If the RTX 4090 maintains its frame rate, the new flagship GPU would need to reach an average of at least 218.4 FPS to be considered "100%+ faster".

If TechPowerUp doesn't publish a review, I'll use some other source, like e.g. TomsHardware.

  • Update 2025-09-01 (PST): - Performance Measurements: TechPowerUp's average frame rates are calculated without DLSS, which may result in the RTX 5090 appearing significantly slower than NVIDIA's claims based on aggressive DLSS settings. (AI summary of creator comment)

  • Update 2025-16-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Update:

    • Performance comparison will focus on non-upscaling and non-frame-generation metrics.

    • Frame generation features will be considered a secondary aspect and not included in the primary performance benchmarks.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ137
2Ṁ95
3Ṁ44
4Ṁ23
5Ṁ12

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy