When will Anthropic release its initial round of ASL-4 commitments?
6
230Ṁ1831
resolved Sep 10
100%99.0%
after July 31, 2024
0.5%
before May 1, 2024
0.5%
May 1-July 31, 2024

Resolves NA if Anthropic abandons its use of the ASL-based system prior to releasing ASL-4 commitments.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ80
2Ṁ54
3Ṁ36
4Ṁ13
5Ṁ5
Sort by:
bought Ṁ162 YES

@CateHall Looks like Anthropic hasn’t released them yet, so this can resolve “after July 31, 2024”.

@mr_mino thanks for the flag, resolved!

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy