Will Switzerland vote to allow usage of nuclear energy again?

Ṁ100Ṁ1k

2027

71%

chance

ALL

The new initiative "Stop the Blackout" [1] votes to allow all climate friendly sources of energy. Previously the swiss people voted in 2017 to forbid building new nuclear reactors. The initiative wants to change this.

Resolves YES, if:

The initiative or the indirect counter proposal passes

Resolves NO, if:

The initiative and the indirect counter proposal fail

In case a counter proposal wins, the resolution is evaluated based on if building nuclear power plants is allowed (YES) or not (NO).

[1] https://blackout-stoppen.ch/#initiative

Update 2025-12-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Market will resolve N/A if there is no popular vote and no vote in parliament within 4 years from the original close date
- Close date has been extended to 2027 to allow time for the expected popular vote

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The parliament decided to lift the Ban on new builds. However this decision will likely be contested, leading to a popular vote early 2027. We will wait for the decision of the popular vote.

https://www.srf.ch/news/schweiz/atomenergie-doch-keine-rueckweisung-parlament-hebt-akw-neubauverbot-auf

Atomkraftwerke (AKW): Parlament hebt Neubauverbot auf

Nach einem Hin und Her zwischen den Räten fällt das AKW-Neubauverbot. Doch bereits wurde das Referendum angekündigt.

The close date is 12/31/2025. Is that the resolution date? If no action is taken is that the same as no? Is there a N/A resolution possibility and what would trigger that?

@NevikEcho I have moved the closing date to 2027, there should be a popular vote by then. The market would resolve N/A if there is no popular vote and no vote in the parliament in the next 4 years. However I think this case is very unlikely.