AI bubble pops before January 2026?
18
100Ṁ607Dec 31
10%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve based on the change in the official closing prices of the S&P 500 index (SPX) and NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) stock between Friday, October 17, 2025, and Wednesday, December 31, 2025.
The market resolves to "Yes" if,
> SPX declines by 10% or more from Oct17, 2025 close and,
> NVDA declines 30% or more from Oct17, 2025 close.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the AI bubble pop in 2025?
7% chance
Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
When will the AI bubble pop?
2029
Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?
72% chance
Will an 'AI Bust' or 'AI Winter' Occur by the End of 2025?
5% chance
Will the "Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?" market be above 5% on January 1, 2029 12:00AM EST?
6% chance
xAI 2025 peak valuation
Will Inflection AI still exist EOY 2025?
88% chance
Will we be called the AI bubble ? 2028
55% chance
Nasdaq correction by end of June 2026
59% chance