AI bubble pops before January 2026?
25
100Ṁ1205Dec 31
5%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve based on the change in the official closing prices of the S&P 500 index (SPX) and NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) stock between Friday, October 17, 2025, and Wednesday, December 31, 2025.
The market resolves to "Yes" if,
> SPX declines by 10% or more from Oct17, 2025 close and,
> NVDA declines 30% or more from Oct17, 2025 close.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the AI bubble pop in 2025?
6% chance
Will an 'AI Bust' or 'AI Winter' Occur by the End of 2025?
4% chance
Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
When will the AI bubble pop?
2028
AI BUBBLE? Which AI companies will drop >60% from their peak in 2026?
[Granular] When Will the AI Bubble Pop?
AI bubble pops in 2026?
25% chance
Will an AI bubble pop cause the next depression?
66% chance
Will a significant AI generated meme occur before 2026?
61% chance
Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?
72% chance