The Financial Times published several predictions for 2023. One of them was the following:

Will there be blackouts in Europe?

"Yes. It could happen before April if the weather is cold enough, but next winter is the bigger challenge. Though gas storage sites are now close to full, refilling them in the spring will be tough. In 2022, Russian gas flows were largely intact until June; in 2023 they will be close to zero. Liquefied natural gas will struggle to cover the shortfall. Offsetting the risk is Europe’s backwards shift from gas to coal. France’s nuclear plants should have fewer maintenance issues. But the energy system has been straining for 18 months. The risk of something breaking is increasing." David Sheppard

Preferably resolves according to reporting from the Financial Times, though I reserve the right to resolve by my own judgement if necessary.