I will informally survey my colleagues and friends who work at investment banks to determine whether they are being impacted significantly due to the ease of creating custom software tools using AI.
I will use my subjective judgment in determining whether to call the resolution, but as a rule of thumb if I have seen 5+ instances of impactful, custom software tools being used that are likely to have been made possible due to AI, I will likely resolve the market.
Examples of custom software tools might include bespoke CRM platforms, custom transaction management tools, or targeted due diligence assistance capabilities. This list is meant to be illustrative and not exhaustive.
I may bet in this market.
I think by 2030, investment banks will absolutely feel the impact of AI, especially through a custom ai assistant like https://kindgeek.com/ai_assistant that streamlines due diligence, automates reporting, or tailors CRM workflows. Such tools aren’t replacing analysts, but they’re shifting how work gets done. I’ve already seen early examples in fintech circles.