Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from the Presidio of SF to Rodeo Beach and back by end of 2023? | Manifold Markets

closes Jan 1, 2024

Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from the Presidio of SF to Rodeo Beach and back by end of 2023?

55%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

I am currently approved for Waymo and can travel driverless within ~most of SF anytime.

Markets About Carson

Self-Driving Vehicles

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YES payouts

Ṁ85

NO payouts

Ṁ16

Ṁ16

Ṁ2

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Related markets

Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from the Presidio of SF to the Financial District and back by end of 2023?83%

Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from the Presidio of SF to Orinda and back by end of 2023?21%

Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from the Presidio of SF to Palo Alto and back by end of 2023?39%

Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from the Presidio of SF to SFO airport and back by end of 2023?19%

Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from the Presidio of SF to Salt Lake City by end of 2023?6%

Will there be a self-driving taxi service in SF with a working desk seat and wifi by the end of 2025?29%

Will I be able to order a self-driving taxi without a steering wheel by end of 2023?14%

Will I be able to order a self-driving taxi without a steering wheel by end of 2024?12%

Will I have easy access to a long-distance self-driving car by the end of 2028?49%

45. Will an ordinary person be able to take a self-driving taxi from Oakland → SF during rush hour at the end of 2023?25%