On January 5th, the Salt Lake Tribune published a series of predictions regarding The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints (aka the Mormon Church), stemming from data scientist Stephen Cranney. Like a good predictor, Cranney even provided exact percentages! Let's see whether Manifold agrees.

One of these predictions was the following:

A temple in Mongolia will be announced.

"Temple prognosticator Matt Martinich has been saying that for a while. Cranney puts that probability at 55%, pointing to church growth there and the push to reduce the distances members must travel to reach a temple. As for new proselytizing missions coming to neighboring China. Don’t bet on it. Cranney gives that only a 2% chance."

This market preferably resolves per reporting from the Salt Lake Tribune, though I reserve the right to resolve independently as necessary.