Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if I contract a physical illness (such as a cold, flu, COVID-19, or other ailment) that causes symptoms between the time of this market's creation and the start of Manifest 2026. It will resolve to "No" if I remain in good health until the event begins.

The determination of whether I am "sick" will be based on my own assessment of my physical health and symptoms. If I am unsure, I will err on the side of reporting based on whether I would typically consider myself too ill to attend normal daily activities or the event itself.

Background

I'm 20 years old, generally healthy, with no chronic conditions. However, over the past six months, I have experienced approximately five distinct symptomatic illnesses that generally meet the resolution threshold of precluding normal daily activities. However, I believe this was due to living conditions that I will not be under in the next month. In addition, I plan to take active steps to reduce my chances of getting sick before the event.