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Will there be a manifest in july of 2026?

1% chance

Will there be an official Manifest or Manifest x in NYC by the end of 2026?

20% chance

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Should be resolved

Resolution criteria?

bought Ṁ100 YES

@JoeandSeth this market is for next year

@JoeandSeth yup poor Henri :(

bought Ṁ5 NO

@JoeandSeth wtf how does that even happen? Severe osteoporosis?

@TheAllMemeingEye arm wrestling

@strutheo lol I get that I'm just shocked that arm wrestling is even capable of actually breaking an arm (I'm assuming break here means snapped bone and not just minor dislocation)

@strutheo oh whoops lmao

@TheAllMemeingEye it was a spiral fracture from what I heard!

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Will there be a manifest in july of 2026?

1% chance

Will there be an official Manifest or Manifest x in NYC by the end of 2026?

20% chance

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