Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES for each subfield that has at least 3 attendees physically present at Manifest 2026 (June 12–14, Lighthaven) who, as of the start of the conference, hold a PhD or active faculty position at an accredited university or research institution, and list the subfield as an Area of Specialization on their PhilPapers profile, department webpage, or publicly identify it as an active research area (via personal website, faculty page, or peer-reviewed publications within the last 5 years).

An attendee may count toward multiple subfields if they qualify in more than one.

Resolution will be based on the official attendee list cross-referenced with public professional profiles (PhilPapers, university websites, Google Scholar/ORCID).

Ambiguous cases will be resolved by @NoahBirnbaum and @MatthewAdelstein through joint discussion. An attendee counts toward a subfield only if both agree they qualify; if they cannot reach consensus, the attendee does not count.