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MANIFOLD
Will IDF conquer Shifa Hospital by mid-2024?
19
Ṁ230Ṁ1.4k
resolved Nov 16
Resolved
YES

On the evening of the ground incursion, IDF spokesperson released a video claiming that Hamas HQ is at the underground tunnel below Shifa Hospital.

Since the declared goal of the current war in Gaza is to destroy Hamas, it might be that the hospital will be one of the targets.

IDF Spokperson video

https://www.idf.il/en/mini-sites/hamas-israel-war-articles-videos-and-more/hagari-speeches/special-press-briefing-by-idf-spokesperson-radm-daniel-hagari-regarding-gaza-s-shifa-hospital/

This market will resolve YES If one of the following Happens

1) Dominant Western media agencies (AP, Rueters, CNN, at least two) will post that IDF has gained control at Shifa Hospital.

2) Hamas Spokesperson will declare that Shifa Hospital has been taken by IDF and will show proof.

3) IDF Spokesperson will declare that Shifa Hospital has been taken by IDF and will show proof.

This Market will resolve NO if at the resolution date none of the conditions for yes has been established.

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predictedYES

https://www.cnn.com/middleeast/live-news/israel-hamas-war-gaza-news-11-15-23/h_3db6e220f80350e0afb9837e9acc7635

“Hamas has claimed Gaza's largest hospital, Al-Shifa, is under the control of Israeli forces, the militant group said in a statement Wednesday.”

predictedYES

@d__
Yeah I think that resolves that.

predictedYES

This is boring, I should have done the market until the end of 23, not mid 24