38% chance. In the modern era, seven countries (Argentina, Australia, Chile, France, New Zealand, Norway, and the United Kingdom) have made official territorial claims on part of Antartica. These claims are not widely recognized and the Antarctic treaty, which is widely ratified, forbids new claims. While the US and Russia have ratified the treaty, they have also reserved the right to make a territorial claim. And beside, treaties can be exited or disregarded. Fine print: Official claim, by the country governeming body Antarctica "mainland", not islands or oceanic shelves (by themselves, could be part of the claim) Territorial claim, including claiming sovereignty. Only granting oneself free mining right, or disregarding other countries claim does not constitute making a claim for the country. No unofficial claims (like Brazil) nor historical claims Reserve right to N/A on ambiguity after discussion in the comments