This market resolves based on the Supreme Court's ruling on any case challenging Trump's executive order attempting to end birthright citizenship for children of immigrants legally in the US. Resolution criteria:

• Fully Unconstitutional if SCOTUS rules the entire executive order unconstitutional/invalid

• Partly Unconstiutional if SCOTUS upholds any part of the order while striking down at least one part

• Constitutional if SCOTUS upholds the EO in full

• Supreme Court opinions: https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions

• SCOTUS Blog coverage: https://www.scotusblog.com

  Background

  The 14th Amendment states "All persons born or naturalized in the United States...are citizens of the United States." On January 20, 2025, President Trump issued an executive order attempting to redefine birthright citizenship, specifically targeting children of legal immigrants. This order has faced immediate legal challenges from civil rights organizations and state governments.

  Resolution Criteria

  This market will resolve based on the Supreme Court's ruling on any case challenging Trump's executive order on birthright citizenship. The resolution will be:

  • Fully Unconstitutional: If SCOTUS rules the entire executive order unconstitutional or invalid

  • Partly Unconstitutional: If SCOTUS Upholds any part of the order while striking down other parts. For instance, if the court rules that the EO is constitutional in the case of children of illegal immigrants, but unconstitutional in the chase of children of legal temporary visitors.

  • Constitutional: If SCOTUS upholds the entire executive order as constitutional

  The market will resolve N/A if no Supreme Court ruling is issued by September 1st, 2025.

  Resolution will be determined using official Supreme Court opinions from supremecourt.gov and SCOTUS Blog coverage.

  Considerations

  • The Supreme Court has never directly ruled on an executive order attempting to modify birthright citizenship

  • Multiple legal challenges have been filed, and the Court may choose to consolidate cases or hear them separately

  • The Court could potentially issue a narrow ruling that doesn't fully address all aspects of the executive order