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MANIFOLD
Will the Russia-Ukraine Abu Dhabi talks produce a signed ceasefire agreement by March 15, 2026?
9
Ṁ100Ṁ646
resolved Mar 18
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if Russia and Ukraine sign a formal ceasefire agreement resulting from the Abu Dhabi talks scheduled for early March 2026.

A ceasefire agreement means a signed document committing both sides to cessation of hostilities. Informal truces, unilateral declarations, or framework agreements without ceasefire provisions do not count.

Resolution source: Official government announcements from Russia, Ukraine, or confirmed by major international mediators.

Context: Zelensky announced talks "most likely" in Abu Dhabi around March 4-5. Russia has threatened to walk away unless Ukraine cedes territory.

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