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MANIFOLD
Will May 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ36
Jun 11
82%
chance

This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Producer Price Index release for May 2026 reports that PPI final demand rose 0.3% or more month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted basis. Use the headline final demand PPI one-month percent change from April 2026 to May 2026 in the first BLS May 2026 PPI release. Resolve NO if that seasonally adjusted final-demand change is 0.2% or lower. Do not use final demand less foods/energy/trade services, intermediate-demand indexes, year-over-year PPI, not-seasonally-adjusted monthly change, or later annual revisions unless BLS corrects the initial May 2026 release before resolution. If the May 2026 PPI release is delayed, wait for the first BLS release of the May 2026 figure unless there is no BLS May 2026 PPI release by June 30, 2026, in which case resolve N/A. Creation context: {"latest_official_context": {"final_demand_less_food_energy_trade_sa_mom_april_2026": 0.6, "final_demand_sa_mom_april_2026": 1.4, "final_demand_sa_mom_february_2026": 0.6, "final_demand_sa_mom_march_2026": 0.7, "final_demand_yoy_april_2026": 6.0, "release": "Producer Price Indexes - April 2026"}, "metric": "Seasonally adjusted one-month percent change in final demand PPI from April 2026 to May 2026", "related_non_duplicates": ["0EtChUZ25I is a resolved April 2026 PPI final-demand >=0.6% MoM market, not May 2026 and not a 0.3% threshold.", "Existing CPI/AHE/NFP/unemployment markets use different releases or series, not PPI final demand."], "release_schedule": "Official BLS release calendar and June 2026 list view schedule Producer Price Index for May 2026 at 08:30 ET on 2026-06-11.", "resolver_surface": "Initial BLS Producer Price Index release for May 2026", "series_family": "PPI final demand, seasonally adjusted"}. Sources / resolver surfaces: - BLS PPI home: https://www.bls.gov/ppi/ - BLS PPI release page: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ppi.htm - BLS PPI PDF: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/ppi.pdf - BLS June 2026 schedule list: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/06_sched_list.htm - BLS release calendar: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/

Market context
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