This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Producer Price Index release for May 2026 reports that PPI final demand rose 0.3% or more month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted basis. Use the headline final demand PPI one-month percent change from April 2026 to May 2026 in the first BLS May 2026 PPI release. Resolve NO if that seasonally adjusted final-demand change is 0.2% or lower. Do not use final demand less foods/energy/trade services, intermediate-demand indexes, year-over-year PPI, not-seasonally-adjusted monthly change, or later annual revisions unless BLS corrects the initial May 2026 release before resolution. If the May 2026 PPI release is delayed, wait for the first BLS release of the May 2026 figure unless there is no BLS May 2026 PPI release by June 30, 2026, in which case resolve N/A. Creation context: {"latest_official_context": {"final_demand_less_food_energy_trade_sa_mom_april_2026": 0.6, "final_demand_sa_mom_april_2026": 1.4, "final_demand_sa_mom_february_2026": 0.6, "final_demand_sa_mom_march_2026": 0.7, "final_demand_yoy_april_2026": 6.0, "release": "Producer Price Indexes - April 2026"}, "metric": "Seasonally adjusted one-month percent change in final demand PPI from April 2026 to May 2026", "related_non_duplicates": ["0EtChUZ25I is a resolved April 2026 PPI final-demand >=0.6% MoM market, not May 2026 and not a 0.3% threshold.", "Existing CPI/AHE/NFP/unemployment markets use different releases or series, not PPI final demand."], "release_schedule": "Official BLS release calendar and June 2026 list view schedule Producer Price Index for May 2026 at 08:30 ET on 2026-06-11.", "resolver_surface": "Initial BLS Producer Price Index release for May 2026", "series_family": "PPI final demand, seasonally adjusted"}. Sources / resolver surfaces: - BLS PPI home: https://www.bls.gov/ppi/ - BLS PPI release page: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ppi.htm - BLS PPI PDF: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/ppi.pdf - BLS June 2026 schedule list: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/06_sched_list.htm - BLS release calendar: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/
Will May 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ36Jun 11
82%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Will the May 2026 US Core CPI be reported at 0.3% or higher (MoM)?
36% chance
Will May 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.4% month-over-month?
50% chance
Will May 2026 US average hourly earnings rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
50% chance
Will May 2026 core CPI rise at least 0.4% month-over-month?
29% chance
Will May 2026 headline CPI rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
60% chance
Will May 2026 headline PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month?
58% chance
Will May 2026 core PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month?
54% chance
Will US headline CPI for May 2026 come in at 3.9% or higher year-over-year?
51% chance
Will the May 2026 US CPI year-over-year reading come in above 2.8%?
68% chance
Will May 2026 U.S. advance retail sales rise at least 0.5% month-over-month?
45% chance