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MANIFOLD
Will May 2026 U.S. job openings be at least 7.5 million?
0
Ṁ100
Jun 30
54%
chance

This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey release for May 2026 reports total nonfarm job openings of at least 7.5 million, seasonally adjusted. Use the headline total job openings level, in thousands, from the first May 2026 JOLTS release. A value of 7,500 thousand or higher resolves YES. A value of 7,499 thousand or lower resolves NO. Do not use hires, quits, layoffs and discharges, total separations, rates, industry subseries, state JOLTS, the Employment Situation payrolls or unemployment-rate releases, non-seasonally-adjusted values, forecast consensus, or later revisions unless BLS corrects the initial May 2026 release before resolution. If the May 2026 JOLTS release is delayed, wait for the first BLS release containing the May 2026 headline total job-openings level unless there is no such release by July 8, 2026, in which case resolve N/A. Creation context: {"latest_official_context": {"april_2026_headline_text": "The number of job openings increased to 7.6 million in April.", "april_2026_total_job_openings_thousands": 7618, "march_2026_total_job_openings_thousands": 6887, "release": "Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, April 2026", "release_date": "2026-06-02"}, "metric": "Total nonfarm job openings, level, seasonally adjusted", "related_non_duplicates": ["Employment Situation payrolls or unemployment-rate markets are not duplicates.", "JOLTS hires, quits, layoffs, separations, rates, state JOLTS, and industry-subseries markets are not duplicates.", "Later-revision and forecast-consensus variants are not duplicates."], "release_schedule": "BLS 2026 schedule lists Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for May 2026 on 2026-06-30 at 10:00 AM Eastern.", "resolver_surface": "Initial BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey release for May 2026", "source_fetch_caveat": "BLS pages returned HTTP 403 to raw Python urllib from this host; official BLS pages were verified via browser/search tooling before creation.", "threshold": "7.5 million job openings or more"}. Sources / resolver surfaces: - BLS JOLTS news release: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/jolts.nr0.htm - BLS JOLTS Table A: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/jolts.a.htm - BLS 2026 release schedule: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/

Market context
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