This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Import and Export Price Indexes release for June 2026 reports that U.S. export prices rose 0.5% or more month-over-month. Use the all-exports / all-commodities export price index one-month percent change from May 2026 to June 2026 in the initial BLS June 2026 Import and Export Price Indexes release. Resolve YES if that monthly change is +0.5% or higher. Resolve NO if it is +0.4% or lower. Do not use import prices, agricultural-only export prices, nonagricultural-only export prices, locality export indexes, export services indexes, commodity-specific indexes, year-over-year changes, CPI, PPI, PCE, trade-deficit data, exchange rates, commodity spot prices, forecasts, or later revisions unless BLS corrects the initial June 2026 release before resolution. If the June 2026 Import and Export Price Indexes release is delayed, wait for the first BLS release of the June 2026 export-price figure unless there is no such release by July 24, 2026, in which case resolve N/A. Creation context: {"latest_official_context": {"all_exports_april_2026_mom": 3.3, "all_imports_april_2026_mom": 1.9, "note": "The May 2026 Import and Export Price Indexes release was scheduled for 2026-06-16 and was not yet released at creation time.", "release": "U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes, April 2026"}, "metric": "One-month percent change in the all-export price index from May 2026 to June 2026", "related_non_duplicates": ["May 2026 import/export-price markets are prior-reference-month markets, not June 2026 duplicates.", "Import-price markets use a different BLS index and are not duplicates of export-price markets.", "Agricultural-only, nonagricultural-only, locality, services, commodity-specific, year-over-year, and forecast-consensus export-price markets are not duplicates.", "CPI, PPI, PCE, trade-deficit, exchange-rate, and commodity-price markets use different releases or criteria."], "release_schedule": "BLS's 2026 selected release schedule and Import/Export release schedule list June 2026 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes on Friday, July 17, 2026 at 08:30 Eastern.", "resolver_surface": "Initial BLS Import and Export Price Indexes release for June 2026", "series_family": "U.S. export price indexes, all exports / all commodities", "threshold": "+0.5% month-over-month or higher"}. Sources / resolver surfaces: - BLS 2026 selected release schedule: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm - BLS Import and Export Price Indexes release schedule: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/ximpim.htm - BLS current Import and Export Price Indexes release: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ximpim.htm - BLS export price table 2: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ximpim.t02.htm - BLS Import/Export Price Indexes home: https://www.bls.gov/mxp/
Will June 2026 U.S. export prices rise at least 0.5% month-over-month?
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