Chatbot Arena - top 3 labs EOY 2024
52
1.4kṀ14k
resolved Jan 1
50%49%
Google
30%29%
OpenAI
20%17%
Deepseek
0.4%
Anthropic
3%
Meta
0.0%
Inflection
0.1%
Mistral
0.1%
01.ai
0.0%
ChatGLM
0.1%
Alibaba
1.3%
xAI
0.4%Other

https://chat.lmsys.org/

Resolves to:
1st: 50%

2nd: 30%

3rd: 20%

Based on ELO rankings, only top score for each lab counts.
With apologies the the open-source community, tuned models will resolve to the underlying base model.

For example, below (leaderboard as of Nov 2023) would resolve
OpenAI 50%, Anthropic 30%, Meta 20%


Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ503
2Ṁ253
3Ṁ168
4Ṁ153
5Ṁ93
Sort by:

@SnoozingNewt note that the 1st ranked will only resolve to 50% 😬

@CalebW I have more than an entire year, and I'm betting that I won't really care around then haha

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules