Resolution Criteria
If FX/Disney officially announces a Season 2 renewal for Alien: Earth by Jan 1, 2026, then this market will resolve YES. I'll determine resolution based on official announcements from FX, Disney, Hulu, or the show's creator Noah Hawley via press releases, interviews, or official social media channels. The market resolves NO if no renewal is announced by the deadline.
Background
FX has not officially renewed the series as of this posting. Season 1 premiered on Disney+ and Hulu in August 2025. The first episode garnered 9.2 million views worldwide within its first six days of streaming. On Rotten Tomatoes, the series holds a 94% Tomatometer, and a 66% audience score. This is a big budget show; exact budget: I do not know.
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ92 | |
| 2 | Ṁ2 |
Alien: Earth is getting a second season. I've decided that this market resolves YES on the basis that the claim has been widely reported as true across a wide variety of reputable media outlets (with no indication to the contrary). Learn more about the FX deal with Noah Hawley in the following article by Hollywood Reporter.
https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/tv/tv-news/alien-earth-renewed-season-2-noah-hawley-fx-deal-1236424398/