When will the EU cease to exist?
22
196
1.4K
2160
2%
Up to 2028
7%
2029-2036
14%
2037-2049
17%
2050-2070
23%
2071-2104
11%
2105-2159
25%
2160 or after

Resolves according to the [Metaculus question](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/19836/end-of-the-eu/).

If the answer buckets seem weird, that's because they have a Fibonacci number of years (starting with 5). This was easier and more integer than using exponentials.

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bought Ṁ10 of 2160 or after YES

I like the Fibonacci buckets

bought Ṁ10 of 2071-2104 YES

@andri thank you! I'm moderately proud of my brain for coming up with the idea.