Will Russia and Ukraine enter into peace negotiations before 12/31/24?
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Course not, Ukraine (understandably) won't want to sit down and chat with the leader of an army responsible for mass torture, rape, genocide on their soil

Would a Korean-War-style armistice count as “peace”?

predicts YES

Does this resolves yes, If the negotiations are unsuccesful? If yes, is there some kind of limit, how serious both sides are?

predicts YES

@Willi Will rely on commentary in NYTimes and WSJ to determine if the negotiations seem to be serious vs. a sham. Will resolve Yes if serious even if the result is ultimately unsuccessful.

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