[Kalshi] Will the CDC identify a new variant of concern by December 31, 2023?
Basic
5
Ṁ704resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will the CDC identify a new variant of concern by December 31, 2023?
Resolves the same as the original on Kalshi.
Resolution criteria
If the CDC has identified a new VOC between Issuance and December 31, 2023, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution sources
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/variants/variant-classifications.html
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
[Kalshi] Will the CDC identify a new COVID variant of concern by December 31, 2024?
15% chance
Will any other US intelligence agency change their assessment of Covid origins towards a lab origin by the end of 2024?
29% chance
Will the CDC have any information on CHS by 2026?
59% chance
Will there be another major pandemic before the end of 2030
27% chance
Will a new pandemic emerge and be declared by WHO before the end of 2024?
15% chance
Will the CDC create a Biosafety Level 5 Category before 2040?
61% chance
Will a COVID-19 variant cause a new scare and intermittent lockdowns in multiple countries by end 2025?
8% chance
[Metaculus] Will a new VOC-classified covid variant cause at least 20k daily hospitalizations in US before July 1, 2025?
5% chance
Will SARS-CoV-2 be eradicated by 2031?
5% chance