Will there be a mass-produced reversible computer on the market by 2032? | Manifold

Will there be a mass-produced reversible computer on the market by 2032?

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2032

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Reversible computing (see links below), is a way of making a computer more energy efficient by making circuits inside "reversible" in that they avoid losing entropy to their environment. Extrapolating trends, [3] the current rate of efficiency improvements will become unsustainable by around 2030. This market resolves to "YES" if on or before December 31 2031, a computer system that uses reversible computing is available on the market for consumers to purchase. The question of what exactly constitutes "reversibility" is a bit murky, as we may see computers which have some components that are reversible. Here are a few criteria I consider important: * The computer is marketed as "reversible" or "adiabatic" * Media reports and experts unaffiliated with the manufacturer fail to dispute that the computer is reversible * The main computational units of the computer are more energy-efficient than we would expect analogous parts of a non-reversible computer to be. [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reversible_computing [2]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adiabatic_circuit [3]: https://youtu.be/rVmZTGeIwnc?t=231

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