Will the next Speaker of the House be elected by end of day January 6th?
106
106
2K
resolved Jan 7
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if the next Speaker of the House of Representatives is elected by end of day Friday, January 6th (11:59:59 PM ET), otherwise NO.

Context: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2023/01/02/house-speaker-vote-explained/10912271002/

If the first ballot fails to provide a speaker, lawmakers will continue to vote until a candidate receives a majority. Members can vote for different candidates each ballot. 

It's not common that there is more than one ballot, but it has happened.

In 1923, it took multiple ballots – nine – over the course of two months to elect a speaker. On three occasions prior to the Civil War, a speaker was not elected on the first ballot. In one instance, it took 133 ballots over a period of two months

Fine print: Only the first-elected Speaker of the House in the 118th United States Congress will count toward the resolution of this market. (Any Speaker pro tempore will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.)

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can't believe I sold early. 😭

bought Ṁ1,000 of NO

@BoltonBailey We're past midnight and speakerless. This should be able to safely resolve NO.

bought Ṁ10 of YES

Now this is getting interesting...

sold Ṁ48 of YES

@IdraTheRage Nevermind me didn't look at closing time :)

bought Ṁ300 of NO

PauseChamp

bought Ṁ200 of NO
sold Ṁ147 of NO

@a Never mind I'm dumb.

bought Ṁ600 of YES

@a was going to say that seemed a bit dated.

sold Ṁ3 of YES

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