
Will the first AI to get IMO Gold integrate Lean?
30
1kṀ12kJul 31
5%
chance
19
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves when an AI first gets IMO Gold. It resolves YES if the system that gets gold uses as a subsystem any piece of code from the Lean community, including any code from the leanprover or leanprover-community GitHub organizations.
Update 2025-07-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In the case of multiple, near-simultaneous claims of achieving an IMO Gold:
A best-faith effort will be made to determine which attempt was initiated first.
If it is unclear which was initiated first, the benefit of the doubt will be given to the party that announced first.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
AI IMO 2025: How many AI labs announce a Gold performance at the IMO in 2025?
Will the best AI score on the IMO 2025 be more like AlphaProof or o3?
Will an AI get gold on this Olympiad by the end of 2025?
Will an AI get a perfect score in IMO 2025
4% chance
Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
1% chance
An AI model published prior to the 2025 IMO achieves gold medal performance
9% chance
Will AI win a gold on IMO before it wins a gold on IOI?
98% chance
Will an AI which achieves IMO gold medal before 2026 use MCTS during test-time?
47% chance
Will AI get BOTH gold and either bronze or silver on the IMO by end of 2025?
84% chance
What company or institution will win the XTX AIMO Prize?