Will an optimal first move for white in chess be known by 2040?

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This market resolves YES if, by 2040, there is a particular first move for white in a standard game of chess which we know to be optimal. That is, we must have a proof that the outcome of the game with perfect play after that move is the same (Win, lose, or draw) for white as before the move.

Feb 6, 1:13pm: ~~Will an optimal first move for white be known by 2040?~~ โ Will an optimal first move for white in chess be known by 2040?

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If strong proofs are required, then this is unlikely to ever resolve. If mere knowledge-beyond-a-reasonable-doubt is required, we already have https://www.chessdb.cn/queryc_en/.

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