Inspired by this talk, specifically the comment about it not being clear what it would look like for an AI to be making the economy grow.

I will resolve this market after the close date by using the best LLM freely available to me at that time and repeatedly asking it the following question:

It is now the end of 2030. In which of the following ways has AI most contributed to the economy over the previous year?

<A>

or

<B>

Where A and B are options from the list of answers to submitted to this question. If the AI is ambivalent, I will prompt it once more to make a decision. If it again is ambivalent, I will choose a winner at random.

I will proceed in a single-elimination tournament fashion, always selecting answers at random from the set of uneliminated answers which has been selected the least number of times so far. In each round, whichever answer the AI is more favorable to will advance, and the other answer will be eliminated. This market resolves to the last one standing.

I will disqualify:

• Any answers submitted after 2025-12-31

• Any answers longer than 75 characters long

• Any addtional answer submitted by a participant other than their first (excluding the answers I am providing at market creation)

• Any answer I deem to be not in the spirit of the question.