
Self-sustaining automated global economy by 2050?
11
1kṀ1382050
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This resolves YES if, at the start of 2050, all humans were to suddenly vanish from the universe, automated factories would continue to produce and distribute items to other factories either forever or until interrupted by a major change in the natural environment (e.g. heat death of the universe, or the sun going red giant, or lumber trees going extinct).
This market will resolve based on my personal judgement and is quite a ways in the future, so consider that there may be high resolution risk.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2035?
22% chance
Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2030?
9% chance
Will AGI be created before the beginning of 2050? (Definition: Autonomous system surpassing majority of economic tasks)
84% chance
Will Africa lead the global economy by GDP in the year 2050?
28% chance
Will Artificial Intelligence drive at least 3.5% of Global GDP in 2030?
50% chance
AI: >10% of Gdp (by 2050)
75% chance
Will a (new) technocratic government emerge by 2050?
57% chance
Will AI take over the world by 2100?
42% chance
Will we see the rise of a post scarcity economic summit before 2030 ?
48% chance
AI: >3% of Gdp (by 2050)
81% chance