Musk party member elected to US congress in 2026?
21
100Ṁ12082026
4%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2026, at least one individual affiliated with Elon Musk's America Party, or any other new party founded with Musk’s help, is elected to the United States Congress (either the House of Representatives or the Senate). To count, the individual must not be running under the Democratic or Republican ticket.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Elon musk form a new political party
9% chance
Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026
15% chance
Will Elon Musk create a political party in 2025?
10% chance
Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?
19% chance
Musk child holds elected political office by mid 2034
10% chance
What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms
Will any GOP member of the US Congress lose their 2026 election to a candidate endorsed by Elon Musk?
56% chance
Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?
37% chance
Will Elon Musk fund any democratic party member in 2025?
16% chance
If Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win?