Resolves to the least number such that there exists a starting chess position, with that many points of material for white removed, such that we have a (computational) proof of the outcome of that position with perfect play in 2040.

This market can resolve to no higher than 35, because in this position (with a total of 35 points of material removed) stockfish computes that the position is a win for black.

For clarity

pawn = 1

knight = 3

bishop = 3

rook = 5

queen = 9