This market was inspired by my previous chaos theory markets. The problem with those was that they each resolved themselves, so the markets were more about finding a fixed point than actual chaos.

I am correcting this by making a sequence of markets. At the end of each month the market will close. Then the market for that month will resolve, and the rest of the markets will re-open.

The January 2024 market resolves to 50%.

Each market after that resolves to 3.56995*x*(1-x) rounded to the nearest percent, where x is the displayed value (as a fraction) of the market for the prior month, before it resolves.

So, for example, if the January 2024 market is trading at 40% at the end of January, and the market closes, the January 2024 market will then resolve to 50% at that time, and a month later, the February 2024 market will resolve to 86% ~ 85.68 = 3.56995*0.4*(1-0.4).

Anyone can extend by adding more months. Please match the format and don't make a month unless the prior month already exists, otherwise I will N/A.

Update: It's becoming a bit tedious to repeatedly reopen this, so I'm going to change this to just remain open permanently. Where the above says "the price of the market when it closes at the end of the month" one should just interpret it as "the price of the market at the end of the month, US Central time".