2024 Tipping-point state in the Rust Belt?
12
130Ṁ922
resolved Dec 19
Resolved
YES

Resolves Yes if the Tipping-point state in the 2024 US Presidential Election is is New York, Pennsylvania, Ohio, West Virginia, Kentucky, Indiana, Michigan, Illinois, or Wisconsin.

Primary resolution source on which state is the tipping-point will be FiveThirtyEight.

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Resolves yes (PA)

Related:

The final 2020 model assigned a 54.4% probability of one of these states being the tipping-point.

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