2024 Tipping-point state in the Rust Belt?
Basic
12
Ṁ922Dec 31
97%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if the Tipping-point state in the 2024 US Presidential Election is is New York, Pennsylvania, Ohio, West Virginia, Kentucky, Indiana, Michigan, Illinois, or Wisconsin.
Primary resolution source on which state is the tipping-point will be FiveThirtyEight.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Rust Belt tossup states vote more Democratic than the Sun Belt swing states in 2024?
99% chance
What will the tipping-point state be in the 2024 POTUS election?
In which state will the tipping point House seat be located in the 2024 US Election?
Will tipping-point state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election be Georgia?
1% chance
Will PA, MI, and WI be consecutive by 2024 margin of victory?
91% chance
Which state will be the tipping point in the 2024 US presidential election?
Will any state be decided by <0.5% in the 2024 election?
3% chance
Will the tipping point state be decided by less than 2% in the 2024 POTUS election?
98% chance
Which region will experience the next state collapse?
What will be the tipping point seat in the 2024 U.S. Senate election?