Will North Korea attempt to detonate a nuclear weapon before the end of November?
Basic
34
Ṁ20k
resolved Dec 5
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if North Korea detonates or attempts to detonate a nuclear weapon before the end of November. NO otherwise.

I will refer to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_nuclear_weapons_tests_of_North_Korea and reliable media reporting for resolution.

Question resolves according to local time in North Korea.

Resolves YES in case of nuclear test (whether successful or not), or in case of attempted use of nuclear weapons in combat (whether successful or not). Testing missiles (without testing the accompanying nuclear devices) does not count.

For the purposes of this question, "reliable media" include prestige media from across the political spectrum in countries other than North Korea, China, Russia and their close allies. (Examples: BBC, Fox, Al Jazeera...) If (in my judgement) these outlets do not reach consensus, I may delay resolution indefinitely. (I won't be following all these outlets myself, so please post in the comments if there's some ambiguity I'm not aware of.)

(Examples: If NYT says it totally happened, and Fox says it's fake news, that's not consensus. But if NYT, Fox, BBC, Al Jazeera, and The Telegraph all say it happened, and Chinese media say it's fake news, that counts as consensus for this market.)

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predicted NO

Looks like this didn't happen...

predicted NO

should resolve no

predicted YES
Will North Korea attempt to detonate a nuclear weapon before the end of November?
predicted YES

What time zone is this determined in?

predicted NO

@brp Let's say local time in North Korea.

Given my position in related markets I might as well take the same stance here.

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