Which year do we lose contact with Voyager 1?
17
Ṁ1kṀ8622050
1.5%
2023-2024
9%
2025-2026
17%
2027-2028
10%
2029-2030
12%
2031-2032
14%
2033-2034
16%
2035-2036
6%
2037-2038
15%
After 2039
Voyager 1 is still on its way to outer space and currently (Jan. 2024) 24.4 billion km away from earth.
Due to dimishing radioactiv power a lot of instruments had to shut down, but the probe is still able to send data. Even though that takes 22.5h one way and currently only transmits glitched data this counts for the purpose of this market.
This market will resolve to the year in which the last successful communication with the probe will be made.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Redacted
A couple months old but possibly relevant
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/12/13/world/voyager-1-computer-issue-scn/index.html
People are also trading
Related questions
When will Voyager 1 cease to be the most distant operational spacecraft?
When will Voyager 2 stop transmitting any scientific data?
Will Voyager 1 survive to its 50th anniversary?
66% chance
Will Voyager 1 outlive the Juno mission to Jupiter?
64% chance
Will Voyager 2 outlast Voyager 1?
74% chance
Which spacecraft will replace Voyager 1 as the most distant operational spacecraft?
Will any anthropogenic object be further from Earth than Voyager 1 before 2060?
58% chance